Sunday, February 26, 2017

Let's predict the Oscars or whatever

Best Picture: La La Land
Best Director: Damien Chazelle (La La Land)
Best Actor: Denzel Washington (Fences)

Best Actress: Emma Stone (La La Land)
Best Supporting Actor: Mahershala Ali (Moonlight)
Best Supporting Actress: Viola Davis (Fences)
Best Adapted Screenplay: Moonlight
Best Original Screenplay: Manchester by the Sea
Best Animated Feature: Zootopia
Best Documentary Feature: OJ: Made in America

Best Foreign Language Film: The Salesman
Best Cinematography: La La Land
Best Costume Design: Jackie
Best Documentary Short Subject: The White Helmets
Best Film Editing: La La Land
Best Makeup and Hairstyling: Star Trek Beyond
Best Original Score: La La Land
Best Original Song: "City of Stars" (La La Land)
Best Production Design: La La Land
Best Animated Short Film: Piper
Best Live Action Short Film: Sing
Best Sound Editing: Hacksaw Ridge
Best Sound Mixing: La La Land
Best Visual Effects: The Jungle Book

Some stray notes:

• Best Actor is a close race between Casey Affleck and Denzel Washington. Affleck deserves it - his performance was more understated, and Denzel's already won twice before - but I already have Manchester by the Sea beating out La La Land for writing and I'm trying to minimize my disappointment, so I'm putting Denzel.

• I don't have Arrival winning anything and that sucks. It at least deserves to win Sound Editing, but that one tends to favor war movies. It's also more deserving of Editing than La La Land, but that movie's gonna win just about everything, so what can you do?

• Sound Mixing always favors musicals. As many have pointed out, the sound mix was one of the few universal complaints about La La Land, so it's dumb that it's going to win this category, but here we are.

• Also, am I crazy, or was "City of Stars" not that great?

Suicide Squad is up for Makeup and Hairstyling. The makeup was one of the few aspects of that movie that didn't suck, but I'm putting down Star Trek Beyond because I can't bear the thought of Suicide Squad winning an Oscar. Plus, Star Trek 2009 won this category.

• I could see Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them pulling an upset in either Production Design or Costume Design.

• I liked La La Land just fine, but jeez.

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